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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 86 (some duplicates have been removed)
at the internals of the washington post poll, i doubt that obama will carry virginia. don't know if it's the economy or the benghazi. where we had this strange story over the weekend that the secretary of defense apparently refuse to obey the president's order, if the president is telling the truth and he instructed his assistants to get aid to benghazi, we're now being told that the secretary of defense canceled that. i think these type of things drag down the president. you notice that he's cancelling his trips over the hurricane. he didn't cancel his trips over benghazi and you have to wonder, between benghazi, the price of gasoline and unemployment, just how much the burden the president is going to carry into this last week. >> he does have a burden. as you point, with a lot of those stories coming out. at the same time, he's built up a lead in some of these battleground states. according to a wealth polls that we have seen across the country. it raised the prospect of governor romney winning the popular vote. losing the electoral college. republicans won't exceaccept th is he rig
new polls out there, from those all-important battle grounds. first virginia, president obama clinging to a four-point lead. and in what may be the consequential states of all, ohio, more signs of momentum for mitt romney. ohio newspapers shows the race all tied up 49% to 49%. >>> let's hear from newt gingrich for mitt romney and stephanie cutter for president obama. >>> stephanie, let me begin with you with that poll out of ohio. romney coming on strong. it looks a real threat to your firewall. >> we feel pretty good where we are. we're beating romney 3 to 1 in the early vote. we feel good about ohio. we think we're going to win it. >> let's dig into that abc news/washington post, stephanie, it shows romney making headway on the economy. back in july, obama had a 16-point lead on that measure. today, it's tied. did you wait too long? >> absolutely not. i mean, you know, it's interesting that you're pointing out your national tracker poll but in the virginia poll that you just cited we are beating romney in terms of who do you trust to get the economy going? in terms of the president's
at the results from early voting and they favor president obama, because those polls have -- >> no, they don't. this is an important point. if you look at ohio, for example, 57% of the absentee ballot requests come from democrats who voted in none, one or two of the last three election and 72% of the republican absentee ballot application come from people who didn't vote -- voted in none, one or two of the last election and that is to say the democrats are cannibalizing the election day turnout and the republicans are getting the new votes out. >> i'm saying the results are, in both camp, obama is beating romney. >> chris: time out. two questions, karl and one, i want to talk about the disparity between the national polls which are leaning romney and the state polls that are leading obama and is it possible we're ready for another 2000, you could have romney win the popular vote in the case and, obama win the electoral vote. >> we could. and i think it is a small chance, because i think, brit is right when you have -- if the margin is as big nationally as it appears in these polls, then you
. but president obama has held on to a small lead there. his strategists are buoyed by polling that shows a 2-1 lead for the president among early voters. the president staged the finale of his 48-hour marathon campaign in ohio. >> i am glad to be back in cleveland, ohio. >> despite the money, the trips, and the speeches, ohio and virginia remain stubbornly in the toss-up category. a newly released cnn poll shows the president with a 50 to 46 lead in ohio. former ohio governor ted strickland and virginia governor bob mcdonnell up next. namely, other humans. which is why, at liberty mutual insurance, auto policies come with new car replacement and accident forgiveness if you qualify. see what else comes standard at libertymutual.com. liberty mutual insurance. responsibility. what's your policy? oh, hey alex. just picking up some, brochures, posters copies of my acceptance speech. great! it's always good to have a backup plan, in case i get hit by a meteor. wow, your hair looks great. didn't realize they did photoshop here. hey, good call on those mugs. can't let 'em see what you're drinking. y
. >> colby? >> national tracking polls has of them close, but the key battleground states, obama still holds a lead. >> what is the ground game, mark? >> the organized effort over months to identify and not only support -- identified not only supporters, but leaners, and persuade them on how one by one retail basis. weeks before election day, you know who your voters are. you want to be sure you get the vote. >> in many of the battle ground states, obama has more field offices. >> it is down to micromanaging, micro-issuing these of votes. interestingly, the republicans had a better ground game in 2004, and a lot of people think that is why and they won that close election. it sort of fell into disrepair today are building it back up now, but i don't think they are anywhere near where obama is yet. >> there is another question. which candidate has the most d.c. asked to come most engaged, most dedicated supporters? >> that is a hard one to answer. clearly after the first debate, the republican party at everly and these as to support tir. romney did do well compared to obama. there was disappo
in the polls and he's rising. in ohio, you've got president obama, he's been leading all along, and as you can see in the latest poll, averaged from real clear politics, he still is. this is why mitt romney is desperately campaigning in pennsylvania. it is a hail mary pass because he knows he's probably going to lose ohio. in wisconsin, president obama maintains a comfortable five-point lead. president obama is also maintaining his lead in nevada. in iowa, president obama is still ahead. the national average is closer, but president obama has been on the rise there as well. so early voting has been going on for weeks now. in some states, and there are some interesting numbers on party breakdown of early voters so far. now, most early voters have been identified as democrats in ohio, nevada, iowa, florida, and north carolina according to the associated press. republicans have the edge in colorado. let's turn to bob shrum, professor of public policy at nyu and contributor to the daily beast. great to have you with us tonight. let's leave the names out of it for a moment. obama and romney. let's
obama and romney very, very close to tied and the state swing state polls, which have, except for north carolina and florida, basically have the two candidates either tied, but obama having a one, two or more point lead, as many as five in some state polls, lead over romney. why the discrepancy between the national survey and the state polls? >> the discrepancy is caused by the tremendous number of negative ads that the obama campaign ran against mitt romney over the course of the last six months. a rising tide lifts all boats, but it doesn't lift them quite as far in the battle ground states as it does elsewhere because of all the negative ads that the obama campaign has run. nevertheless, a lot of those states are incredibly close, there are eight states right now that are within less than 3 points. so, who knows which way those are going to go on tuesday. >> paul: there's another a factor here which is interesting in the polling, which is in these head to head surveys in the swing states, president obama typically can't get above 47, 48%, even if he's leading romney by a couple of po
, but the state polls continue to show obama with a, some advantages in the electoral votes, so, i think both sides are looking at the polls and seeing hope. >> dan, let's step back briefly here, how important is this election? we always say the elections are the most important in x years, but i think this is the most important election since ronald reagan certainly in terms of setting the direction of the country and validating or not the huge expansion of government that barack obama has promoted in the first term. >> i agree, paul. i mean, historically the country is divided in the past century between the private economy and the public government. and there's always been a division of duties there. barack obama is trying to take spending from 20% of grosse pointe woods over the last 25 years up to about 23%. >> paul: for the starters. >> for starters and plus, make the federal government the lead role in the direction of the economy in a way that no previous president has ever done and i think that that is the decision the american people have to decide is whether they want washington, th
to at least some degree depending on the poll in closing the scene december gap for women preferring obama over him. this week, indiana republican senate candidate talked about having no exceptions at all in the case of abortion. take a look. >> life is a gift from god. even when life begins in that horrible situation of rape, it is something that god intended to happen. >>chris: senator johnson, mitt romney disavowed the comments and he has tried to walk them back but it brings up the bigger question, why should a woman who believes freedom of choice when it comes to abortion, why should she vote for mitt romney who said he would like to see roe vs. wade overturned and wants to cut off funding for planned parenthood. >>guest: i had one person talk about the abortion issue during the campaign. what is moving people in wisconsin, romney is an individual when faced with the legislature controlled 85 percent by democrats was able to work with the democrats. you look at his record versus president obama who has been totally unable to work with divided government in washington, dc --. >>chris:
played president obama in romney's debate appropriation, 18 electoral votes if play in a state obama won in 2008 by 4.6 points and now leading by 2.3 points in the latest average of recent polls. republican ron johnson of wisconsin, ten electoral votes at state, obama won by 14 points last time and now leading by 2.3 percent. democrat mark warner, obama woman the 13 electoral votes by 16 points four years ago and now is tried and democrat part udall of colorado, obama won nine electoral votes by nine points and the race now is dead even. senator portman, the state most people think may decide the race and that is ohio, the obama camp says they have a big edge in early voting in your state and they also note they have 137 campaign offices around the country but the romney camp has only 39. >>guest: well, you mentioned first of all the real clear politics average in ohio being 2.3 percent in president obama's favor. as of this morning it is 1.9 percent. that is because the polls are closing. the latest poll was this morning in ohio by the ohio newspapers, showing the race is a dead heat. t
, the electoral map based on public polls from last week. you had states solid or leading obama in shades of blue with 237 electoral votes. and states solid or leading romney with 2306 votes and eight toss ups in yellow with 95 electoral votes and you need 270 to win the presidency. this is from last monday and this shows all of the states some of the leading obama and romney. any movement last week? >> well, we will know tomorrow night with our electoral college map but we are at a point where there is little movement, the momentum was on romney's side but the closer you get to the end, one of two things happens. the 1980 with rapid movement in one direction or we see what i think we are seeing, movement toward romney but slowing because we are down to the thin group of people. >>chris: do you have any sense of big movement? >> at this point the polls are less important than the early voting numbers, the actually people voting. take ohio, in ohio 1 109,000 fer democrats than now years ago allied for early, and 400,000 more republicans already, so there is a shift of 120,000 or 130,000 absentee b
of all, you mentioned the real clear poll techs average in ohio being 2.3% in president obama's favor. as of this morning it is 1.9% actually and that is because the polls are closing. the latest poll was this morning an ohio poll by the ohio newspapers showing the race is a dead heat and that s what i feel. i also feel like the momentum is on our side. i have been at six of the rallies over the last week. i have also been at about a dozen victory centers around the state and the energy and enthusiasm is on our side this year. it is interesting to watch but look we were down probably 5 to 10 points before the debates. after the debates we are about dead even and moving our way. >> chris: senator warner your state of virginia is right in the path of that huge storm. if you lose power and you could lose it for days could that have an effect on early voting and even have an effect on election day? >> well, chris, the governor already declared a state of emergency. i think we don't have as extensive an early voting in virginia as other states. i actually, though, think in terms of how the
by a wide margin in the first poll. did you know that obama in the same poll won the third poll by an even larger margin. but you make a good point. as to how it was covered. with obama, it was covered like a disaster of epic proportions never before seen in politics. and it was not. you know. yes, he was not on his game. anybody can say that. this is -- as you said, you're describing romney in the third debate. he either agreed completely or threw out a word or two that looked like he looked things up on his smart phone. romney's sole plan seems to be he'll be there and not obama. no doubt america will seem stronger with a man named willard in charge. somebody did the graphic but everything he said but i'm white. >> yeah. that's pretty much it. and you know, i just want to go up to people that are thinking of voting for romney and going what if obama said i have a plan to fix the economy but i'm not going to tell you any of the details. >> stephanie: right. >> would you think we were crazy for voting for hi
polls, how many does president obama lead in? 24 of the 24. every single one. and look at the rest of mr. romney's campaign schedule. he's taking the one trip to pennsylvania that republicans always take. but other than that, he was in ohio and wisconsin today. he was scheduled to be in new hampshire, iowa and colorado in the final days. and he just spent the last couple days in florida and virginia. that means the map is not expanding. not if you can't afford to walk away from any of your battleground states to move on to more exotic locales. he is still flogging it out in the places where he has to win. where he is not sure he is going to win. all of this we're going to win stuff, it is a fake. it is a fakeout. it is a bluff. it is trash talk. and there's nothing wrong with it. it happens every year. you should just know that it is a dependable part of the end of presidential campaigns. but every once in awhile at the end of a presidential campaign, this expected feint, this attempt at a fakeout that everybody knows is coming, every once in awhile it is revealed as a fakeout. every onc
the president's ahead. in 11 national polls, romney has more than 50% and in one poll, barack obama has over 50%. in a poll today, romney has a 60-point lead among enthusiastic voters. so i think if the race is frozen in time, it's to the governor's advantage. >> the ppp poll shows among independent voters, a 16-point advantage. 66% disapprove of barack obama. to the degrethere are persuadable voters in the tight election contests and the small number 7 states. it is right now, looking like those are going to break toward governor romney. >> we will see, the issue is clearly favorable for obottom a. the auto buyout has hurt romney significant. the issue environment in virginia, i live in northern virginia, gifavorrable to obam a. i think you will see a very interesting election night. i think we will be looking at a few of these states. we may be up very late. but obama is doing well in the states he had to win to get over 270 electoral votes. i think romney is hurt by some of the outrageous things that the senate candidates in missouri and indiana have said about a woman's right thochoose. rom
. and mitt romney led in zero of those polls. there were two ties and obama led in 17. that's not what we were seeing two weeks ago where romney pulled ahead in virginia and colorado and florida and had drown ohio down to a one-point lead. if anything, obama has momentum. he was declared the winner of the final two debates. i'm not sure how the hurricane is playing for him, but his numbers ticked up. that's why the states that seem toss uppy seem like they are more firmly in the president's favor. >> let me ask you, and i didn't warn you i was going to ask you this, but you have been the subject of a lot of criticism in this last week in particular as if the polling model that you built at "the new york times" and the way you explain the polling is somehow biassed or wrong or evil. i feel like you are waging a one-man war against e pneumonia rossty in explaining how polling works. how has the week been? >> it's been a trip where you become a subject of conversation yourself and there's this celebrity level attached to it that's new for me e. but there are other websites that do the same t
actually makes sense. checking the facts is easy to do. look at the polls in pennsylvania. there have been two dozen polls in pennsylvania since august first. of those two dozen polls, of those 24 polls, how many does president obama lead in? 24 of the 24. every single one. and look at the rest of mr. romney's campaign schedule. he's taking the one trip to pennsylvania that republicans always take. but other than that, he was in ohio and wisconsin today. he was scheduled to be in new hampshire, iowa and colorado in the final days. and he just spent the last couple days in florida and virginia. that means the map is not expanding. no the if you can't afford to walk away from any battle ground states. he's still flogging it out where he has to win. all of this we're going to win stuff is a fake out, it's a bluff, it's trash talk. and there's nothing wrong with it. it happens every year. you should know it's a dependable part of the end of presidential campaigns. but every once in awhile at the end of a presidential campaign, this expected faint, this attempt at a fake out that everybody know
foreign affairs, national security. even if your polls, president obama retains the advantage but it has been used to shrink it. just what you said. >> first of all, it has been shrunk by ordinary americans looking at the president's handling of the situation and, feeling that he is coming up way short and my comment about lookin this, i'm looking at this from the perspective of having been in the white house and i cannot imagine that at 4:05 in the afternoon the situation room got word of an attack on an american facility in benghazi they wouldn't have taken it to the president and the national security advisor and the president would not have been engaged and i take the president's word. >> thank you, karl, you said... >> chris: wait, let karl finish. >> blaming the -- >> juan, hold on, let karl finish. >> i did. >> no, he didn't. he didn't. >> no. >> chris: let him finish. >> if the president ordered the assistance beiven and none was given until well after 7 hours later. if the cia at the clan des type annex were told three times don't engage and we had men disregard the orders of th
to give up. ohio has been an obama advantage in the polls for many, many days. romney campaign say they have caught up. new poll out from ohio, consortium of newspapers that mr. romney's momentum is not an actual tie at 49-49 apiece. >> harris: carl cameron, literally from the road. once again we'll carry that event live in ohio with governor romney and paul ryan coming up. >> gregg: sit down and put on your seat belts. making me nervous. >> massive cover-up or incompetence? very strong words from senator john mccain on the administration's handling on the attack on the u.s. consulate in benghazi libya that killed four americans including our u.s. ambassador. mrz lawmaker calling for the immediate release of all surveillance video gathered during that deadly attack. national security correspondent jennifer griffin joins us live with the late. what requests went unanswered according to your sources? >> remember, my source was on the ground at the c.i.a. annex. i'm told about 9:40 when the first shots were heard, woods and other operators asked the c.i.a. base chief for permission to
. "washington post" poll, president obama leads about 51% to governor romney's 47%. back in september, the president had a stronger lead, 52% to 44% in virginia. why do you think the governor has been able to close the gap in the commonwealth? >> i think just like you see nationally and a lot of other swing states, after a first debate performance in early october for governor romney. he managed to show people kind of a different face than they had seen in a lot of negative advertisements or depicted by president obama and a lot of his allies. you've seen him gain nationally in a lot of swing states just like in virginia. the question is, have enough momentum now to put him over the top and that's kind of the question that everyone is asking themselves nine days out from the election now. >> in virginia, like other states, it can be separated in several states within a state. you've got southwest virginia, you've got hampton roads area and norfolk and the richmond area. you've got the d.c. suburbs, arlington and fairfax and alexandria. let's talk about the democratic shift there, nort
to governor mcdonnell. new washington post poll out showing president obama at 51. governor romney at 47%. this is a race that has a similar situation in ohio. your economy is doing better than the national economy is, and this has been a tough row for him to hoe. what does mitt romney have to do if he can get into the state after the storm to turn this around? >> well, first i do want to thank governor romney who called me yesterday and agreed to cancel three events in virginia today to allow our first responders to focus on that. i appreciate it. the president is doing the same thing tomorrow. you mentioned the post poll. there are two other polls, both rasmussen and fox, that have romney up by two. it's margin of error. it's close, and it's going to come down to turn out the last undecided voters. i think why romney will win virginia is because he is the one that's going to reverse these sequestration cuts. they're going to devastate the military and cost us $200,000 jobs. the president has been a bystander and won't do that. he is the one with the plan to create jobs and we've got 23
is that president obama has maintained a small but a very consistent lead in ohio. i don't know of any poll that has shown the president not leading over the last few months, as a matter of fact. >> do you think it counts for the rise of independence? >> we have a good ground operation. >> what do you think -- >> i'm sorry? >> what do you think accounts for the rise of independents towards the romney campaign? what's going on there? >> i'm not sure there are many true independents. i think people who even refer to themselves as independents typically feel some kind of allegiance to one of the major parties or the other. ohio is a very closely divided state, but ohio's unemployment, as you know, is 7%. the auto industry, which ohioans value greatly and provides a lot of jobs for our people is doing really well, and thanks to the president, and so i think ohioans are feeling -- i think they think our economy is coming back. >> any credit to your republican governor? >> i'm sorry? >> do you give any credit for that economy to your republican governor? >> i think two -- do, candy. >> well, candy, i thin
day. new poll numbers show president obama with an early voting advantage in the battle ground state of ohio. but will it hold? joining me now washington bureau chief for "usa today" susan page and white house editor for politico rachel smolken. good to have you here. susan i'll begin with you. before i get to the ohio poll can i just ask you for your big picture perspective? given your coverage of politics over the years -- >> i'm sorry. i've lost audio so maybe you should go to race well a question. >> oh, thank you for that. we'll get that fixed up as soon as we can. rachel i'm going to ask you broadly speaking, are there any signals being given by either camp that suggests concern on either front as this race appears to be tightening? >> both campaigns are in full spin mode projecting absolute confidence moving ahead. we're really seeing the momentum wars at work here. the narrative from the romney campaign that they've got the wind behind them at their backs. they're going to push forward. the president obama peaked too early and they're picking up steam heading into the finish
from your poll if i could put it up. president obama's 16-point lead with women on the economy. now a four-point disadvantage. how worried should democrats be? >> very worried. if this is actually going to bear out, it's a disaster for the democratic ticket. president obama underperforms with men, particularly white men at such a large degree that he needs to overperform with women. the obama campaign is really questioning these polling figures saying that the president is still well ahead with women. it's unclear. we are seeing that trend in basically all the polling across the board. that he's lost a lot of ground with women since the first debate. the president has to make up that deficit with women if he's going to win. there is no other way. his deficit with men is so large. >> lynn, for women that are still undid he sided, the handful of women who might be undecided, we heard the economic message from governor romney, heard the president's fiscal message, coupled with his stance on women's issues, as well. which is having the greater pull on those independent women voters righ
with the picture voters, and they're still backing president obama. if you look at the polls, on average, the president is winning. he has maintained a small but steady lead. i think this year you will see a number similar to what we had in 2004 and not so much in 2008. that was a different year. a lot of people were so upset with george bush. the president will pull out and win next tuesday. i think the numbers will be closer to what they were in 2004. host: what is your handicap for the governor's race and the two contested congressional races in the state? guest: in the governor's race, the democratic canada has maintained a small but said to lead in the polls. she has been out there campaigning and really doing a good job getting the message out. the republican, a very well- known figure in the state. this is the fourth time he is run for major office. he has not been successful in the past, despite the fact that he had much greater name recognition. he just has not been able to catch her in the polls. the polls go back and forth on each of those. it is a rematch of the congressional
of polls, it may show romney plus 2, romney plus 5, romney plus 1. there are a lot of obama leaning polls as well, but even though i look at those polls, you're telling me that it sounds like obama has the edge and he's actually going to win the election? >> if you look structurally, he has an advantage right now. now, if those states happen to flip, and they have gotten closer, and there's a debate of course and charlie, i know, will have a lot to say about this, about what polls to believe in, are polls even trustworthy now, everybody seems to have their hone poll. i don't know that there are actually that many people in ohio. i immediately like maybe there are professional poll takers in ohio, and if so, that would be a great business if your want to get in that. sure, highly answer your poll, $5. there's so much data coming out of there that you almost don't know what to believe, so you sort of have to read what's happening from the campaigns and it's pretty clear that there is, again, when you talk about just a few of these states and we can go through them, where the obama edge, as
up for grabs in the small battleground state... mister obama carried it easily in 2008... but - polls showing this time around, things could be different... with republican challenger mitt romney gaining ground with independents. "he's been running around saying he's got a five-point plan for the economy. turns out it's a one-point plan. folks at the very top get to play by a very different set of rules than you do." it was kissimmee, florida for mitt romney. the g-o-p presidential hopeful..telling supporters the president failed to fulfill his campaign promises. "he promised that his would be a post partisan presidency. but, we've him over these last four years that he's been divisive and and demonized almost every group that opposed him." the v-p candidates making the rounds, too. joe biden in virginia..targeting the republican ticket. "i've never seen two candidates for the highest office of the land who are more negative about the state of our country." paul ryan in ohio...where recent polls give the president a slight advantage. hope and change has become anger, frustration, divi
voters president obama could capture? >> i do not want to talk about internal polling, but let me say this, based on what i am seeing, i am very confident the president will have a good night here in new -- here on tuesday. we are working hard to make sure we have every obama supporter out there and out there to vote so we do have a victory. i think it will be closer, closer to the 2004 election when senator kerrey won. i do think president obama will pull it off, because he has such an excellent ground game, and because of these big city issu that are born to the people of new hampshire. we talk about real depth is a reduction, the spefics of his plan, unlike mitt romney to has yet to answer how he will pay for his plan. the people understand you want someone willing to talk about specifics, someone who has a record of cutting taxes for working-class and middle-class people. someone who has a record for cutting taxes for small businesses. the president has signed 18 tax cuts into law for small business people. i think the people of n hampshire, when they look at the president's recor
in the national polls. the wild card here, the change that took place in october -- the biggest statistic that jumps out is people started judging romney the winner on the economy. he's opened now a high lead over obama on the economy. if that overrides their concerns about his personality and character. then there's not much obama can do. but they had had luck with romney's personal negatives before that. so there's potential there. >> i wonder -- i was thinking about this with the appearances in ohio. looking at the economic numbers in ohio. it's been funny at the personality level to see john kasich talk about how much better things have gotten under his leadership. we'd really to prefer you say things are going badly. as the campaign shrinks down to a small number of swing states and they have that improving economic numbers problem as it were on the republican side in florida and ohio, does that change the type of argument they need to make about change? about why mitt romney is the guy who should be trusted to do things differently than barack obama? >> they are hitting it there. ba
: in the average of polls and the state of new hampshire, president obama has a slight edge, 48.8 to 46.8. you can see the specific polls that have been taken giving obama an edge in some and romney a edge in others. neill in ohio, independent caller. caller: i will not say my last name, but i will say that i already voted, i am truly independent. i must say, i found it disgusting that mid romney would stay in ohio to collect canned goods if he truly believes we should be reliant on private enterprise if there is a disaster. why doesn't he does take millions of dollars out of his own pocket and buy canned goods and send them in and continue on his way? instead, he sends coleman to ohio to talk about what he says on abortion, which is untrue. at the same point in time, he is changing his game and changing every view. we know he bashed fema. the president is doing his job. he is not doing anything but his job. host: the front page of the "boston globe" shows the impact of the storm, millions reeling. the "hartford courant" has this headline. go ahead, neil levesque. guest: it affected new hampshire
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 86 (some duplicates have been removed)